Category Archives: Jeff

The Gatsby Curve

Paul Krugman relays some of the work of his colleague (Alan Krueger) on inequality and social mobility with the graph below -first, a little context:

On the horizontal axis is the Gini coefficient, a measure of inequality. On the vertical axis is the intergenerational elasticity of income — how much a 1 percent rise in your father’s income affects your expected income; the higher this number, the lower is social mobility.

What would Daisy Buchanan say? I’m guessing that the movie version will be a disappointment. Check out more here and here.

New Year help – study provides key for losing weight

The Situationists Blog details an interesting study on losing weight that has little to do with counting calories or carbs per se. Apparently it’s all in your head. Here’s an excerpt: Continue reading

Louis CK – a new business model?

Comedian and actor Louis CK made news recently by passing big corporate America and selling a recent stand-up performance video directly to fans – for $5 a download. His video was not encrypted and he relies on the fans to pay for the download rather than getting free pirated versions. It’s a strategy reminiscent of the approach used by the band Radio Head some years ago – they basically allowed a (technically) free download, but asked downloaders to pay what they felt was a fair price.

Both experiments seem to have gone well, but critics point out that such approaches may have limitations – for instance, both Louis CK and Radio Head are established acts and enjoyed the ability to market their product rather cheaply. Time will tell if these experiments have an impact on the entertainment industry. You can check out the Louis CK offering here. Caution: his material is decidedly R Rated.

How professions rate – surprises?

Some of these Gallup poll results outlined in the NY Times may surprise you – but most seem pretty predictable. Continue reading

The judge and the SEC …

See the article in the Atlantic Wire here. A money quote from the judge:

In much of the world, propaganda reigns, and truth is confined to secretive, fearful whispers. Even in our nation, apologists for suppressing or obscuring the truth may always be found. But the S.E.C., of all agencies, has a duty, inherent in its statutory mission, to see that the truth emerges; and if fails to do so, this Court must not, in the name of deference or convenience, grant judicial enforcement to the agency’s contrivances.

 

On unconscious effects in decisions

A recently posted paper on SSRN caught my eye - “Unconscious Influences on Judicial Decision-Making: The Illusion of Objectivity” by John Irwin and Daniel Real. Here’s an excerpt: Continue reading

Insider deals for members of Congress?

See it on 60 Minutes (via Boing Boing) here.

History of Veterans Day

Soldiers of the 353rd Infantry near a church at Stenay, Meuse in France, wait for the end of hostilities.

… from the Department of Veterans Affairs website:

World War I – known at the time as “The Great War” – officially ended when the Treaty of Versailles was signed on June 28, 1919, in the Palace of Versailles outside the town of Versailles, France. However, fighting ceased seven months earlier when an armistice, or temporary cessation of hostilities, between the Allied nations and Germany went into effect on the eleventh hour of the eleventh day of the eleventh month. For that reason, November 11, 1918, is generally regarded as the end of “the war to end all wars.”

In November 1919, President Wilson proclaimed November 11 as the first commemoration of Armistice Day with the following words: “To us in America, the reflections of Armistice Day will be filled with solemn pride in the heroism of those who died in the country’s service and with gratitude for the victory, both because of the thing from which it has freed us and because of the opportunity it has given America to show her sympathy with peace and justice in the councils of the nations…” (See the rest here)

Envy of the rich or simply calling out cheaters?

Matt Taibbi has what I consider one of the better treatments on OWS in a recent article in Rolling Stone – “Wall Street Isn’t Winning – It’s Cheating”. It’s one of the few pieces I’ve seen that has included discussion of the underlying problems at play in Wall Street. Here’s video of him discussing the same topic on CNN. And here’s a excerpt from the article: Continue reading

On “practice ready” and the future of legal education

I ran across an interesting article today on the meaning of “practice ready” and what that means with regard to the education of law students. Here’s an excerpt: Continue reading

That Robert Reich can draw really well …

Here’s Robert Reich (below) addressing the economy in just a couple minutes with the aid of a magic marker and poster boards. You can check out the rest of the story here. H/T JL

A tribute to … garages?

... and this is where Google was born ...

Yes. One thing that some people may not know about the late Steve Jobs is that he and Steve Wozniak started Apple Inc. out of his parent’s garage. Indeed a lot of great business were started that way … and nearly every good band ever. Check out a cool listing of the garage origins of some businesses on History.com.

Reagan on tax loopholes and millionaires

H/T J. Lax

A tv show about anonymous internet commenters

and  why they are generally horrible. (Sigh) If only this was a real show … well done Saturday Night Live, well done. Enjoy…

Where the black swans hide … getting a grip on market outliers

Mebane Faber (Cambria Investment Management) has posted an intriguing paper on the social science research network, titled “Where the Black Swans Hide & The Ten Best Days Myth”. Here’s the abstract: Continue reading

This just in: Blogs beat Congress (barely)

According to a recent poll, people have more confidence in blogs than in congress, but only by a bit – and both are at the bottom of the institutional pile with regard to public confidence — see the post on Volokh Conspiracy here and the table below: Continue reading

“For the American economy – and for many other developed economies – the elephant in the room is the amount of money paid to bankers over the last five years.”

Here are some interesting thoughts on the American financial situation by the guy who brought you “Black Swans” (and his co-author, a hedge fund manager). An excerpt: Continue reading

Special Labor Day Message from Ike

“Should any political party attempt to abolish social security, unemployment insurance and eliminate labor laws and farm programs, you would not hear of that party again in our political history. There is a tiny splinter group, of course, that believes you can do these things. Among them are H. L. Hunt…, a few other Texas oil millionaires and an occasional politician or business man from other areas. Their number is negligible and they are stupid.” – President Eisenhower, 1954

See origins here.

H/T Prisonrodeo

“By sabotaging the reputation of an institution of government, the party that is programmatically against government would come out the relative winner.”

Whether you agree or disagree this article by a former GOP staffer is certainly thought provoking and provides an interesting take on the future of trust in Congress. Here’s a brief excerpt:

Both parties are rotten – how could they not be, given the complete infestation of the political system by corporate money on a scale that now requires a presidential candidate to raise upwards of a billion dollars to be competitive in the general election? Both parties are captives to corporate loot. The main reason the Democrats’ health care bill will be a budget buster once it fully phases in is the Democrats’ rank capitulation to corporate interests – no single-payer system, in order to mollify the insurers; and no negotiation of drug prices, a craven surrender to Big Pharma.

But both parties are not rotten in quite the same way. The Democrats have their share of machine politicians, careerists, corporate bagmen, egomaniacs and kooks. Nothing, however, quite matches the modern GOP.

HT – Haptonstahl

 

Political letter from Starbucks?

I just got an email letter from the Starbucks CEO on the current political situation – or at least I think I did – it may be from someone else posing as him. I’m guessing that anyone who is on their list got this. In any event here it is: Continue reading

Gathering information about government officials in a form that can readily be disseminated to others serves a cardinal First Amendment interest …”

I’m a little surprised that the mainstream press hasn’t picked up this story. From Universal Hub site:

A Boston lawyer suing the city and police officers who arrested him for using his cell phone to record a drug arrest on the Common won a victory today when a federal appeals court said the officers could not claim “qualified immunity” because they were performing their job when they arrested him under a state law that bars audio recordings without the consent of both parties.

See the rest of the article here. Read the First Circuit Court of Appeals opinion here.

“Amazon Publishing has acquired my next book, The 4-Hour Chef, to launch its New York-based imprint.”

So says Timothy Ferriss – well-known fitness and lifestyle expert. Beyond any interest Ferriss might garner regarding his cooking ideas (which I assume will be slow-carb oriented) the deal is interesting. Ferriss is a known commodity in publishing and his decision to go with Amazon means that he is passing up traditional publishing houses – which have worked very well for him in the past. It will be interesting to see how this all works out and I’m sure that the big publishing houses will be watching carefully — What is the future of the traditional book in an age of easy and effective self-publishing?

My APSA paper on selection effects and judicial ideology — plus, a bonus Ron Swanson video clip

Please find below the abstract for my 2011 American Political Science Association Conference paper “Judicial Response or Litigant Strategy: Examining the Success of the Solicitor General” (with Brent Boyea and Damon Cann). If you find the abstract interesting, then you can download the paper here. Continue reading

An intriguing look at perceptions of inequality in America

Again, from Boing Boing (and PBS):

 

I don’t care if I’m not rich, as long as I’m richer than you

Boing Boing posts on a new study featured in The Economist in which we gain some insight on why people of pretty modest means still support tax breaks for the rich. The conventional wisdom is that they aspire to be rich someday. Somehow this always seemed more like a made up, throw away line – especially when people are over a certain age and it’s not very realistic. In any event, it appears that experimental evidence suggests that it may be about keeping the people slightly below you in their place.

Instead of opposing redistribution because people expect to make it to the top of the economic ladder, the authors of the new paper argue that people don’t like to be at the bottom. One paradoxical consequence of this “last-place aversion” is that some poor people may be vociferously opposed to the kinds of policies that would actually raise their own income a bit but that might also push those who are poorer than them into comparable or higher positions.

Check out more of the post here.

On the context of entitlements

Jon Stewart on how we perceive entitlements – with a nice case study (and a clip of George Carlin!).

http://www.hulu.com/embed/Gv5cnVPUttI2495yq2ArLA/4/292

Night of the living old men …

Dun-dun-duhn! In the New York Times, professor Stephanie Coontz ponders over the implications of what is apparently an inevitable growth in the number of old men in this country. It appears that they’re living longer, eating healthier, exercising – and are much less like Mad Men’s Don Draper than they used to be.

It’s obviously good news for men that they are starting to catch up with women in longevity, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves in predicting the benefits of this convergence for the relationship prospects of older heterosexual women. The number of men 65 or older may be increasing faster than the number of their female counterparts, but there are still five million more women than men in that age group. And it remains true that older men have more opportunities than older women to repartner with someone of a younger age.

Still, I don’t see a downside to the narrowing gap in male and female life expectancy, although I suppose a woman trapped in an unhappy marriage might not find her husband’s extended lifespan very beneficial. Among unhappy couples, even a few extra minutes a day with one’s spouse raises blood pressure and lowers immune functioning. So imagine the toll that extra years can take.

This is a wrinkle (pun intended, sort of) of the boomer aging phenomenon that I hadn’t really considered. Check out the comments following her story – they’re a fun read.

 

“There are a lot of people in Mexico, and a lot of people who eat peaches.”

In a rare showing of good economic news, it was announced recently that Georgia could sell peaches to Mexico – ending a 15+ year ban on Georgia peaches in the country due to concerns over invasive pests. Continue reading

“But the overall impact of the intervention, particularly the measure we care most about—whether you go to college—it didn’t move the needle much”

Billionaire Bill Gates has discovered what many have already known – improving meaningful education outcomes is not as easy as it sounds. Even his large contributions to education entities didnt make as big of an impact as he had hoped. He wisely points out that his contributions, which seem large, are actually small in the overall scheme of things. He still seems to believe that small classrooms matter, even despite the disappointing results. Here’s a brief excerpt of the interview: Continue reading

Whole Foods or whole paycheck? The cost of eating right in America

Slate Magazine has an interesting piece on eating right in America – the question at issue is whether it’s really realistic for people to eat healthy in an era in which the government essentially subsidizes poor eating habits and, hence, you can get a Big Mac, large fries and a Coke for about $5 – whereas a healthy meal costs a good bit more – if you factor in costs of the food and preparation time. Here’s a sample from the post: Continue reading

“By 2050, 1 in 5 Americans will be seniors”

A recent article on Yahoo! news discusses the approaching “Silver Tsunami”and how cities are preparing. Continue reading

Growing up is hard to do…

No, not a new Neil Sedaka tune – here’s a story about a trend of young men not following traditional paths – excelling in school, workaholic, marriage, etc. From the article: Continue reading

“shyness and introversion … are not just normal. They are valuable. And they may be essential to the survival of our species.”

Don’t worry about a zombie attack – the introverts are coming and we’re taking over – and it’s a good thing ;-)

One way we manifest this bias is by encouraging perfectly healthy shy people to see themselves as ill.

This does us all a grave disservice, because shyness and introversion — or more precisely, the careful, sensitive temperament from which both often spring — are not just normal. They are valuable. And they may be essential to the survival of our species.

See the rest of the story in the NY Times article “Is Shyness and Evolutionary Tactic?”

 

Post on prawfs re judicial elections

Check out my e-interview post with Melinda Gann Hall and Chris Bonneau here.

“I’ve become convinced that distance teaching in MPA programs is important.”

Check out my recent prawfs post on distance learning programs here. It highlights an excellent new blog by USC’s Tony Bertelli.

“I would watch the men preening in the Senate and I figured we should give them a little bit of a horse race.”

– Perhaps one of the most sensible policies to emerge from the US Senate – witness “Seersucker Thursday”. From the Senate’s webpage: Continue reading

“The Walking Dead (Stocks)” – on the rise of zombie stocks

The Washington Post reports on the rise of so-called ‘zombie stocks’ — stocks that continue to be traded well after falling out of compliance with Securities and Exchange Commission requirements. Continue reading

“Bookstores … have begun selling tickets or requiring a book purchase of customers who attend author readings and signings…”

For some reason this strikes me as incredibly reasonable, although I imagine that I’m in the minority in my view. It certainly is against tradition, and I can empathize with people not liking a charge for something that was once free. Still, I wonder how avid fans of authors will respond. Would you rather spend $10 on a movie or to (briefly) meet one of your favorite authors?

Heather Gain, the marketing manager of the Harvard Book Store in Cambridge, Mass., said that in recent years the store had begun doing more events that required the customer to buy a book, constantly reminding them that “if they aren’t purchasing the books from the establishments that are running these events, the bookstores are going to go away.”

“We’re a business,” Ms. Gain said. “We’re not just an Amazon showroom.”

The New York Times has the rest of the story here.

“There must be a clear moment when the individual can recalibrate a behavior, make a choice, and act.”

Check out my Prawfs post on feedback loop technology here.

“Why should a financial engineer be paid four times to 100 times more than a real engineer?”

Check out my post on the documentary movie “Inside Job” on prawfs here.

“Turn the switch on, the animal has the memory; turn it off and they don’t: that’s exactly how it worked”

The NY Times reports a recent study published in the Journal of Neural Engineering that suggests that scientists have made a good bit of progress in the effort to improve on retaining and regaining memories through the use of implants. Here’s a snapshot of the research: Continue reading

“I don’t want to talk to you; I want to talk at you.”

I’ve always enjoyed the wit and wisdom of Joel Stein’s writings. I especially enjoyed his column outlining some of his concerns on the rapidly developing ‘interactiveness’ of all writing, entertainment, and media. For what it’s worth Stein actually has a blog (although his last update was 5 years ago and he doesn’t allow for comments). Here’s a sample of the story: Continue reading

“At the end of 1980, just before I left office, 500,000 people were incarcerated in America; at the end of 2009 the number was nearly 2.3 million.”

Former president Jimmy Carter weighs in on the war on drugs in the New York Times. Here’s an excerpt: Continue reading

On the topic of deliberation…

Check out my 2nd post on Prawfs on the topic of decision systems here.

Guest blogging on Prawfs

I’ll be guest blogging on Prawfsblawg for the month of June. My first post is about memorable trial performances in movies. You can check it out here.

New era in California corrections

Well, this should be interesting to watch. The US Supreme Court’s recent decision in Brown v. Plata indicates that California will likely have to drastically reduce its prison population rather drastically over the next couple years Approximately 32,000 inmates must be released to comport with the Court’s close-vote decision which found that the state’s overpopulated prisons were Constitutionally problematic. One upside for the state will be incarceration cost savings – if we assume that each prisoner costs about $50,000/year to incarcerate – a relatively modest estimate – then this means a cost savings of 1.6 billion dollars annually to the state. Yes, that’s billion, not million. On the other hand, we can imagine that there may be significant collateral costs to the state and that these costs may simply be shifted to other entities (expanded demands on policing, local jails, etc.). Given the changing face of California incarceration outlined in this study (document), it will be interesting to see how they go about determining who to release.

More on this here and here.

Criminal Registration – Knowledge as Power

Knowledge as Power

On Prawfs Dan Markel tells us that there’s a new book in town. FSU Law Professor Wayne Logan has recently published Knowledge as Power: Criminal Registration and Community Notification Laws in America. He was also recently quoted on this subject in the New York Times. Here’s some copy from the book: Continue reading

New review of our book in POP

The recent issue of Perspectives on Politics included a review of our book, “Presidential Rhetoric and the Public Agenda: Constructing the War on Drugs” by Diana Owen (Georgetown University). Here’s a selected passage:

In this important study, Andrew B. Whitford and Jeff Yates move beyond the standard focus on persuasion and build upon the established theoretical frameworks of “agenda setting” and “going public.” They explore the ways in which presidential rhetoric can not only shape opinion but also can influence policy implementation and bureaucratic action. Focusing their analysis on drug policy, the authors demonstrate that presidents can exert leadership authority and change the behavior of even entrenched administrative constituencies through public rhetoric. The detailed case study provides rich historical context documenting presidential administrations’ responses to the “war on drugs” dating back to the 1930s. The authors use a multimethod approach in order to provide empirical evidence that supports their argument that persuasion can translate into action. This study establishes a new benchmark for research on presidential rhetoric.

“This is not going to end well.”

Darwin Award contenders?

Gawker tells us of a new bad idea – tourists can now dangle on the edge of the CNN tower.

The CN Tower, which stretches 116 stories above the Toronto skyline, its “main pod” hovering there like some sort of malevolent spacecraft, will now invite tourists to stroll around its perimeter.

See more here.

Do you like gladiator movies? Oh yeah, here’s a good book on Roman political thought

Daniel J. Kapust (University of Wisconsin – Political Science) has recently published “Republicanism, Rhetoric, and Roman Political Thought” (Cambridge University Press). Here’s some copy for the book: Continue reading